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Tuesday, July 5, 2022

JPMorgan Prime Asks “Are We There Yet” And Answers…

With markets in freefall (at least until the furious reversal midday when as we noted earlier, bitcoin soared higher as rate hike odds tumbled)...... the only question panicked traders are asking is "is this finally the bottom."One place we look for an answer is in the latest note from JPMorgan's Prime Brokers titled aptly "are…

JPMorgan Models War Between Russia And Ukraine: Sees Oil Soaring To $150, Global Growth...

With Morgan Stanley joining Goldman and calling for $100 oil, and Bank of America's commodity strategist Francisco Blanch one-upping both, and today laying out the case for $120 oil...... on Friday afternoon JPMorgan trumped all of its banking peers with a report that is especially troubling if not so much for the implications from its…

JPMorgan Trading Desk Commentary: “The Reality Is No One Is Really Buying Anything Right...

With markets in flux and traders uncertain what to do now that it has been almost three weeks without a new all time high ahead of a FOMC meeting where the hawkish screws will tighten that much more, here is some perspective from the beating heart of one of the largest trading desks in the…

JPMorgan Is Once Again The World’s Most Important Bank

After three years on top, JPMorgan - the largest US bank by assets and market cap - was dethroned in November 2020 from its position as the world's most systematically important bank.As a reminder, while some might see CEO Jamie Dimon 'flexing' over Elon Musk (and others), being the most systemically-important bank is more of…

BofA, Citi, JPMorgan All Blocked From Texas Muni Market Over Anti-Gun Virtue-Signaling

Update (1430ET): It turns out JPMorgan is not alone.As we noted below, the new Texas law is hitting all the bulge bracket, virtue-signaling banks.Bloomberg reports that since the Republican-backed law took effect on Sept. 1, neither Bank of America, Citigroup, or JPMorgan has managed a single municipal-bond sale in the state.These 3 banks were the biggest underwriters (and therefore fee…

JPMorgan Spooks Market With $3 Billion Crash Hedge

Anyone who has been following Nomura's Charlie McElligott or the analysis from our friends over at SpotGamma, knows that as part of the quarter-end hedging fireworks, one of the most notable trades to keep an eye on is quarterly reset of the JPMorgan Collar Trade which the JPMorgan Hedge Equity Fund puts on every quarter…
jpmorgan-says-delta-cases-about-to-turn-lower-as-kolanovic-calls-the-bottom-for-yields-and-cyclicals

JPMorgan Says Delta Cases About To Turn Lower As Kolanovic Calls The Bottom For...

It has been nearly two years since JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic first called the rotation out of growth and into value stocks that was triggered by the repo crash in Sept 2019, a "once in a decade" event, and which he boldly predicted would continue for long time. Alas, it did not, with value stocks imploding…
jpmorgan-finds-no-bounce-in-retail-trades-despite-new-$1,400-stimmy-checks

JPMorgan Finds No Bounce In Retail Trades Despite New $1,400 Stimmy Checks

Earlier this week, we reported on a surprising finding from JPMorgan: in analyzing trends in retail and daytrading activity, quants at the largest US commercial bank found that retail investor no longer YOLOed into calls of meme stocks, but were instead hedging their (quite impressive) recent gains by buying puts in QQQs, to wit:... the…
jpmorgan-warns-earnings-upgrades-may-have-peaked

JPMorgan Warns Earnings Upgrades May Have Peaked

Authored by Elena Popina, Bloomberg reporter, published originally under "Taking Stock"If you are looking for it, there’s always something for equity bulls to worry about. Here is a relatively new item: Analysts who increased their profit forecasts at light speed late last year are dampening their enthusiasm. It started happening this month, so the development…
jpmorgan-fears-gamma-imbalance-‘fragility-events’-in-these-stocks

JPMorgan Fears Gamma-Imbalance ‘Fragility-Events’ In These Stocks

Single stock option gamma imbalances have become a focus for market participants recently amid concerns of the role they may have played in recent price and volatility spikes in Technology stocks, and most recently in high short interest stocks.Specifically, SoftBank's “Gamma Whale,” which has now been replaced by Reddit-Raiders, provides a lesson on how a…
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