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Saturday, June 25, 2022

Goldman Rings The Alarm On Collapsing Market Breadth: 51% Of All Market Gains Since...

A few days ago, with the Nasdaq at all time highs, we showed a striking chart: barely 40% of the Nasdaq's 3,000+ stocks were trading above their 200 day moving average.While not nearly as dramatic, a chart comparing the broader S&P and the median stock (via the Value Line Geometric) showed a similar theme: barely…

Market Predictions For 2022 – Two Opposing Views

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,“(Market) Predictions Are Difficult…Especially When They Are About The Future”– Niels BohrOkay, I took a little poetic license. However, the point is that while we try, we can’t predict the future. If we could, fortune tellers would win all of the lotteries. But, they don’t, we can’t, and we will not…

Here We Go: Market Begins Pricing In Rate Cuts As Yield Curve Inverts

With Powell effectively confirming an earlier end to the Fed’s taper program this week, parts of the US yield curve inverted, and as the chart below shows, forwards traders are starting to price in rate cuts in a few years suggesting the Fed will not only end its tightening campaign prematurely, but will be forced…

Bond Market Screams Fed Policy Error, Sparks Huge Value-To-Growth Rotation In Stocks

Stocks were very mixed today with Nasdaq (growth-dominant) soaring as Small Caps (value-dominant) slumped. As the day wore on and various headlines came out of Washington, all somewhat reducing the scale of the fiscal stimulus, stocks all began to fade. The Dow and S&P tumbled into the red and even Nasdaq gave back most of…

“Market Is Unstable”: Bonds & Stocks Bid Ahead Of OpEx, CTAs MaxShort Cash/TSYs

The US equity market has taken the taper threat in its stride and soared without a break since the Minutes dropped yesterday afternoon. Nasdaq is outperforming as yields drop... because the bond market is pricing in a Fed policy error...That was the best day for the S&P since March 5th! And best day for Nasdaq…

The Key Market Flows Behind “Yet Another Quick Selloff”

As has been the case for much of the past 6 months, equities saw another modest selloff (-4%) around the option expiry date similar to those in recent months (2-3% selloffs in the last 3 months), albeit exacerbated this time by fears around an Evergrande default.Similar to the previous occasions, equities rebounded almost instantly as…
even-in-a-best-case,-the-job-market-won’t-be-back-in-balance-for-10-months:-“what-happens-to-wages-until-then?”

Even In A Best Case, The Job Market Won’t Be Back In Balance For...

Friday’s blockbuster jobs which revealed that 943K jobs were added in July, and Monday’s job openings data according to which there were 1.4 million job openings than unemployed workers, confirmed several themes on the US labor market:In the near term, supply-side constraints remain strong and are holding back even bigger gains in jobs and GDP.The…
the-market-could-get-cut-in-half,-charles-nenner-warns-of-geopolitical-chaos-“like-before-pearl-harbor”

The Market Could Get Cut In Half, Charles Nenner Warns Of Geopolitical Chaos “Like...

Via Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com,Renowned geopolitical and financial cycle expert Charles Nenner made a huge call at the end of January 2020.  Nenner said, “I am more worried about the market going down 40% than making 5% more on the upside.” The market topped a few weeks later (2% higher) and then plunged 38% for the next several…
market-mayhem-as-‘gamma-hammer’-sparks-post-powell-puke

Market Mayhem As ‘Gamma Hammer’ Sparks Post-Powell-Puke

We warned earlier in the week that Friday's $2 trillion gamma expiration would spark chaos...According to an update from McElligott, a massive ~35% of SPX options Gamma will drop-off tomorrow, 52% of QQQ, 61% of IWM and 54% of EEM.These are staggering numbers and explains why we had a market-wide gamma meltup this morning, which…
market-hits-all-time-highs-as-money-flows-peak

Market Hits All-Time Highs As Money Flows Peak

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,Over the last few week’s we discussed the ongoing “buy signals” suggesting the market could retest all-time highs. That occurred this week. However, as stated last week:“The good news is that we did indeed get the rally we were expecting. The not-so-good news is that the rally already consumed a majority of the ‘buy…

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