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Monday, January 24, 2022

Hedge Fund CIO: To Markets It No Longer Matters Who Wins The Election

By Eric Peters, CIO Of One River Asset Management When 2020 started, Trump seemed destined to win. The economy was strong, unemployment low, markets were priced accordingly. The odds of a Democrat victory were low, though market consequences of such an outcome seemed clear - higher taxes and re-regulation would knock equities lower. A 25%…

An Emerging Markets “Doom Loop” Time Bomb Emerges, And Inflation Could Set It Off

While both we - and most other analysts - have been focusing on soaring debt and QE since the covid pandemic, DB's Jim Reid correctly points out that this has been mostly in the context Developed Markets. But how have Emerging Markets funded themselves in the pandemic? The answer, as Reid writes in his Friday…

Markets Immediately Reverse Earlier Plunge After Navarro Walks Back China Comments

Update (1010ET): If ever there was evidence of the farce this so-called market (and perhaps also the Trump administration) has become, it is this. Shortly after stocks and the yuan plunged following Peter Navarro using the words "it's over" when discussing the US-China trade deal, the White House Advisor rapidly backtracked, claiming in a statement…

Is Dave Portnoy The Market’s Mad Genius: Here Are The Top 40 Stocks In...

On Saturday, we reported that something remarkable was taking place in capital markets: a basket of "retail favorite" stocks had outperformed not only the broader market by a wide margin, at one point last week surging as much as 35% YTD, but also the basket of most popular, "hedge fund VIP" stock. How is this…

Citi Warns “Markets Are Way Ahead Of Reality”, Urges Clients To Raise As Much...

If the 35% surge in the S&P in the past two months seems too good to be true as even hard-core optimists like JPM's Marko Kolanovic now admits, announcing that he is "dialing down" his optimism while Goldman sees little upside for stocks from here... ... it's probably because it is, as the latest Wall…

“The Worst Case For Markets”: Massive Stagflation In 2021 As Prices Rise Without Rising...

Authored by Vincent Cignarella, Bloomberg macro commentator "We are witnessing the Great Monetary Inflation (GMI)—an unprecedented expansion of every form of money unlike anything the developed world has ever seen." - Paul Tudor Jones The current worry in global markets is a recession, or worse, as the shutdowns to contain the pandemic rob workers of…

With China Markets Set To Re-Open, US Traders Are Ignoring Two “Blatantly Obvious” Issues

Authored by Richard Breslow via Bloomberg, It isn’t hard to find assets that have clearly shown distress by how they’ve reacted to the current news. But it’s also easily enough done if you are looking for evidence of remarkable sangfroid in the face of what can only be described as scary events. All in all,…

Financial Markets Don’t Have The Faintest Inkling Of Potential Geopolitical Risk

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, The procession of news through the week – namely that chronicling the aftermath of the targeted drone strike and killing of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani – advanced with an agreeable flow.  The reports at the start of the week were that Orange Man Bad had spun up a Middle…

The Next Ten Years In Oil Markets

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via OilPrice.com, An eventful 2019 wraps up a decade of turmoil in oil markets, in which Brent Crude prices fluctuated from as high as US$125 a barrel in 2012 to as low as US$30 per barrel in January 2016.   Geopolitical turmoil, economic growth, soaring U.S. shale production, and OPEC’s various policies to…

Turkeys, Markets & A “Revision Of Belief”

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, On Monday, the markets jumped on more “trade news,” despite there being no real progress made. However, such wasn’t surprising as we discussed in this past weekend’s newsletter: “Over the last few weeks, we have been discussing the ‘QE, Not QE’ rally. Regardless of what the Fed wishes to call their bond…
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