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Sunday, September 26, 2021

Can A Policy Recession Occur When The Fed Is Easing?

Submitted by Joseph Crason, Former Director of Global Economic Research, Alliance Bernstein Is it possible for a policy recession to occur when successive rounds of policy-stimulus have worked to extend the economic cycle and the policy-fuel runs out or cannot be provided in the same scale? We may soon find out. The current stance of…

This Is What A Recession Looks Like

Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog, Do you remember what it was like in 2008 when it literally felt like no job was truly safe?  It was a terrible time, and many fear that we could soon be facing a similar scenario.  In recent days, big companies all across America have been…

GOP Sen. Toomey: ‘I Don’t Think That We Are Heading to a Recession Any...

Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) said Thursday he does not think the United States is “heading to a recession any time soon.” In his interview on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” Toomey voiced his concern with beginning a new trade war, saying the country “ought to be working hard” to end existing trade wars. “The combination of adverse…

Michigan Could Be In A Recession In Next Couple Months

Hawaii and Montana have the next highest probabilities of recession risk for 4Q19 According to a new LendingTree study, Michigan has the highest probability of entering an economic downturn later this year. The study warned that Michigan, Hawaii, and Montana have the highest risks of a recession. The highest, however, is Michigan, with a 58.86%…

Gundlach: 75% Odds Of US Recession Before 2020 Election

DoubleLine CEO Jeff Gundlach sees a 75% chance of a US recession before the 2020 election.  Speaking at a London event this week, the billionaire money manager reiterated his August outlook, telling the audience "We should be on recession watch before the 2020 election," adding "We’re getting closer but we’re not there yet."  According to Gundlach,…

Next US Crash between 2022 & 2023

Authored by Serban V.C. Enache via Hereticus Economicus: Despite the desire of some to plunge the US economy into a recession under Trump’s term – probably the ultimate humiliation for the businessman President – the bust isn’t anywhere near the horizon. To argue this point, I will use the 18 Year Real Estate Cycle approach…

U.S. Jobs Report Shows Growth In August, Is Below Market Expectations

September 06, 2019 4:21 PM ET U.S. jobs growth of 130,000 jobs was lower than expected in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics news release. This increase was lower than the economist predictions of 158,000 jobs, which is more in line with the average growth in 2019 to date, and well below the…

BUTLER: The Yield-Curve Inversion Could Mean A Recession — But It’s Far From Certain

August 30, 2019 5:30 PM ET The August rollercoaster in the stock market have Democrats predicting a recession that will begin just in time for the 2020 presidential elections. But a closer study of the American economy shows a recession is not necessarily on the horizon. Wall Street panicked this month due to an “inversion”…

Recession Alarm: Crude Processing At US Refiners Falls The Most Since Financial Crisis

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This Town Will Be Ground Zero For The Next Recession

As we've already shared with out audience - and not all that long ago - RV sales, long a bellwether of economic health in the US (where it is apparently a treasured luxury for retired suburbanites and some adventurous millennials), are flashing a warning sign of sorts.  Domestic RV shipments to dealers, which, according to…

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