Home News THE BEST-CASE OUTCOME FOR THE CORONAVIRUS, AND THE WORST

THE BEST-CASE OUTCOME FOR THE CORONAVIRUS, AND THE WORST

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DNYUZ:

Here’s the grimmest version of life a year from now:
More than two million Americans have died from the new coronavirus,
almost all mourned without funerals. Countless others have died because
hospitals are too overwhelmed to deal adequately with heart attacks,
asthma and diabetic crises. The economy has cratered into a depression,
for fiscal and monetary policy are ineffective when people fear going
out, businesses are closed and tens of millions of people are
unemployed. A vaccine still seems far off, immunity among those who have
recovered proves fleeting and the coronavirus has joined the seasonal
flu as a recurring peril.

Yet here’s an alternative scenario for March 2021: Life largely returned to normal by the late summer of 2020, and the economy has rebounded strongly. The United States used a sharp, short shock in the spring of 2020 to break the cycle of transmission; warm weather then reduced new infections and provided a summer respite for the Northern Hemisphere. By the second wave in the fall, mutations had attenuated the coronavirus, many people were immune and drugs were shown effective in treating it and even in reducing infection. Thousands of Americans died, mostly octogenarians and nonagenarians and some with respiratory conditions, but by February 2021, vaccinations were introduced worldwide and the virus was conquered.

Read more at DNYUZ



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